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The term "existential threat" and the threats cited could emerge as key drivers defining the political dialogue as the country moves toward mid-term elections in November.

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Using Strategic Foresight Analysis, I identified six drivers that played a major role in the 2016 presidential campaign and now appear to be even more influential today.

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For decades, I have tracked political instability and insurgencies around the globe, assuming that the indicators I developed would never have relevance for the United States.

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Cognitive psychology teaches that most people expect change to be incremental and that past patterns usually repeat themselves.

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As reported in the October blog, I recently spent three weeks in a hospital bed in Iceland.

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In 2020, I authored a book, How to Get the Right Diagnosis: 16 Tips for Navigating the US Medical System.

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The chaotic evacuation of US and NATO forces from Afghanistan has generated a storm of speculation—some informed and some not—about what led to the crisis in Kabul and how it could have been prevented.

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The release of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report on 9 August should cause many of us to rethink some of our key assumptions.

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If you can identify a robust and comprehensive set of Key Drivers, you can better understand why something happened and anticipate better how future events will unfold.

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